Monday, October 29, 2007
The predictions in review
The predictions were posted on March 29th, and exactly seven months later, it's now time to see how everyone did.
(Levi's predictions, made in the comments to the March 29th post, didn't actually include the Rockies, which I didn't notice until I was preparing this table. If he wants to lie in the comments to this post and claim he meant to put them in first or second place in the NL West, that's his prerogative.)
| Actual results | Sports Illustrated | Bill James formula | Levi's predictions |
| AL East | |||
| 1. Boston Red Sox (96-66) | 1. N.Y. Yankees | 1. N.Y. Yankees (96-66) | 1. Boston Red Sox |
| 2. N.Y. Yankees (94-68) | 2. Boston Red Sox | 2. Boston Red Sox (89-73) | 2. N.Y. Yankees |
| 3. Toronto Blue Jays (83-79) | 3. Toronto Blue Jays | 3. Toronto Blue Jays (85-77) | 3. Toronto Blue Jays |
| 4. Baltimore Orioles (69-93) | 4. Baltimore Orioles | 4. Baltimore Orioiles (71-91) | 4. Tampa Bay Devil Rays |
| 5. Tampa Bay Devil Rays (66-96) | 5. Tampa Bay Devil Rays | 5. Tampa Bay Devil Rays (63-99) | 5. Baltimore Orioles |
| AL Central | |||
| 1. Cleveland Indians (96-66) | 1. Cleveland Indians | 1. Chicago White Sox (93-69) | 1. Minnesota Twins |
| 2. Detroit Tigers (88-74) | 2. Detroit Tigers | 2. Minnesota Twins (92-70) | 2. Detroit Tigers |
| 3. Minnesota Twins (79-83) | 3. Chicago White Sox | 3. Detroit Tigers (87-75) | 3. Cleveland Indians |
| 4. Chicago White Sox (72-90) | 4. Minnesota Twins | 4. Cleveland Indians (83-79) | 4. Chicago White Sox |
| 5. Kansas City Royals (69-93) | 5. Kansas City Royals | 5. Kansas City Royals (60-102) | 5. Kansas City Royals |
| AL West | |||
| 1. L.A. Angels (94-68) | 1. L.A. Angels | 1. L.A. Angels (91-71) | 1. L.A. Angels |
| 2. Seattle Mariners (88-74) | 2. Oakland Athletics | 1. Oakland Athletics (91-71) | 2. Oakland Athletics |
| 3. Oakland Athletics (76-86) | 3. Texas Rangers | 3. Texas Rangers (80-82) | 3. Texas Rangers |
| 4. Texas Rangers (75-87) | 4. Seattle Mariners | 4. Seattle Mariners (75-87) | 4. Seattle Mariners |
| NL East | |||
| 1. Philadelphia Phillies (89-73) | 1. N.Y. Mets | 1. N.Y. Mets (92-70) | 1. N.Y. Mets |
| 2. N.Y. Mets (88-74) | 2. Atlanta Braves | 2. Philadelphia Phillies (86-76) | 2. Atlanta Braves |
| 3. Atlanta Braves (84-78) | 3. Philadelphia Phillies | 3. Atlanta Braves (83-79) | 3. Philadelphia Phillies |
| 4. Washington Nationals (73-89) | 4. Florida Marlins | 4. Florida Marlins (80-82) | 4. Florida Marlins |
| 5. Florida Marlins (71-91) | 5. Washington Nationals | 5. Washington Nationals (74-88) | 5. Washington Nationals |
| NL Central | |||
| 1. Chicago Cubs (85-77) | 1. St. Louis Cardinals | 1. St. Louis Cardinals (89-73) | 1. St. Louis Cardinals |
| 2. Milwaukee Brewers (83-79) | 2. Chicago Cubs | 2. Houston Astros (84-78) | 2. Milwaukee Brewers |
| 3. St. Louis Cardinals (78-84) | 3. Milwaukee Brewers | 3. Cincinnati Reds (78-84) | 3. Chicago Cubs |
| 4. Houston Astros (73-89) | 4. Houston Astros | 4. Milwaukee Brewers (77-85) | 4. Cincinnati Reds |
| 5. Cincinnati Reds (72-90) | 5. Pittsburgh Pirates | 5. Chicago Cubs (70-92) | 5. Houston Astros |
| 6. Pittsburgh Pirates (68-94) | 6. Cincinnati Reds | 6. Pittsburgh Pirates (67-95) | 6. Pittsburgh Pirates |
| NL West | |||
| 1. Arizona Diamondbacks (90-72) | 1. L.A. Dodgers | 1. San Diego Padres (86-76) | 1. Arizona Diamondbacks |
| 2. Colorado Rockies (90-73) | 2. Arizona Diamondbacks | 2. L.A. Dodgers (82-80) | 2. L.A. Dodgers |
| 3. San Diego Padres (89-74) | 3. San Diego Padres | 3. Arizona Diamondbacks (76-86) | 3. San Diego Padres |
| 4. L.A. Dodgers (82-80) | 4. Colorado Rockies | 3. San Francisco Giants (76-86) | 4. San Francisco Giants |
| 5. San Francisco Giants (71-91) | 5. San Francisco Giants | 5. Colorado Rockies (73-89) | 5. Colorado Rockies |
(Levi's predictions, made in the comments to the March 29th post, didn't actually include the Rockies, which I didn't notice until I was preparing this table. If he wants to lie in the comments to this post and claim he meant to put them in first or second place in the NL West, that's his prerogative.)
Labels: bill james, predictions, sports illustrated
